Crude Palm Oil Ends Lower; Price Correction Seen Timely

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Crude palm oil futures on Malaysia’s derivatives exchange ended lower Monday as weak fundamental cues and a slide in CBOT soyoil prompted investors to book profits.

The new benchmark November contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives exchange ended MYR12 lower at MYR2,678 a metric ton after moving in a MYR2,678-MYR2,730 range.

Many trade participants said CPO prices had risen too quickly last week and a downward price correction was necessary to get prices to reflect current fundamentals.

At the start of the month, CPO prices were hovering at MYR2,570/ton levels but rose to MYR2,737/ton levels in less than two weeks.

A sharp rise in prices prompted cash market buyers to hold off trade due to expectations prices would ease.

"Prices will probably remain in correction mode after the recent rise, which has put buyers off. Investors may continue to book profits, so prices aren't likely to sustain a rally above MYR2,750/ton," said a senior trading executive based in Kuala Lumpur.

A Singapore-based trading executive said trade in the cash market was sluggish, with a $7.50/ton gap between offers and bids and few trades reported.

"It's a timely correction. If prices had kept going up, trading activity in the cash market would be fairly quiet"

Trade participants also fear that a slowdown in exports would lead to higher inventory levels at the end of August.

Cargo surveyor Intertek Agri Services estimated Malaysia's Aug. 1-15 palm oil exports fell 7.4% to 619,435 tons. Another cargo surveyor, SGS (Malaysia) Bhd., estimated exports during the period fell 16% on month to 592,094 tons.

"These (figures) are cues that would prompt a downside price movement," said a trader based in Indonesia.

In the cash market, palm olein for October/November/December shipment was traded at $897.50/ton free on board Malaysian ports, another trader in Singapore said.

CME Group Inc.'s dollar-based November CPO futures were trading $5.75 higher at $846/ton at 0918 GMT, compared with Friday's close of $840.25/ton.

Rupiah-denominated October CPO futures on the Indonesia Commodity and Derivative Exchange were 0.5% lower at IDR7,640 a kilogram at 0919 GMT.

Open interest on the BMD was 65,512 lots versus 63,861 lots Friday. One lot is equivalent to 25 tons.

A total of 24,610 lots of CPO were traded versus 24,669 lots Friday.


Closing BMD Crude Palm Oil (CPO) futures prices in MYR/ton at 1000 GMT: 

Month   Close  Previous  Change   High    Low
Sep'10  2,779     2,780  Down 01  2,798  2,771
Oct'10  2,708     2,718  Down 10  2,756  2,706
Nov'10  2,678     2,690  Down 12  2,730  2,678
Dec'10  2,670     2,681  Down 11  2,717  2,670 

-By Shie-Lynn Lim, Dow Jones Newswires; +603 2026 1233; shie-lynn.lim@dowjones.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

August 16, 2010 06:23 ET (10:23 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2010 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

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